Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.648035 0.762432 0.889295 1.040157 1.214404 1.409066 1.642738
2024-12-22 0.504996 0.655992 0.838872 1.075667 1.373051 1.732958 2.200236
2024-12-29 0.418578 0.595219 0.826948 1.150739 1.588587 2.156794 2.946130
2025-01-05 0.346593 0.537012 0.806317 1.210245 1.794884 2.603276 3.796748
2025-01-12 0.279896 0.471162 0.761884 1.228264 1.947756 3.002965 4.650573
2025-01-19 0.228448 0.416335 0.722170 1.244836 2.100493 3.425430 5.602898
2025-01-26 0.196298 0.385260 0.712999 1.306581 2.332232 4.000022 6.869389
2025-02-02 0.182230 0.382433 0.750041 1.451163 2.721753 4.878278 8.739292
2025-02-09 0.158463 0.355807 0.739468 1.509798 2.972960 5.562680 10.382508
2025-02-16 0.131278 0.315627 0.695200 1.497388 3.093516 6.037315 11.727332
2025-02-23 0.106330 0.273738 0.638656 1.449805 3.138754 6.380750 12.880122
2025-03-02 0.086429 0.237933 0.587039 1.401831 3.173869 6.707303 14.040092
2025-03-09 0.077696 0.227411 0.590228 1.475087 3.475986 7.603120 16.434039
2025-03-16 0.063715 0.199537 0.547390 1.437336 3.536299 8.025992 17.951953
2025-03-23 0.055880 0.186061 0.536475 1.472150 3.763029 8.822975 20.335504
2025-03-30 0.048924 0.173070 0.523962 1.500812 3.980712 9.630086 22.842601
2025-04-06 0.041544 0.156460 0.497974 1.490057 4.102846 10.243413 25.007437
2025-04-13 0.035609 0.142572 0.476317 1.486459 4.242124 10.913836 27.381655
2025-04-20 0.032250 0.136434 0.475973 1.541826 4.541307 11.995532 30.822743
2025-04-27 0.031753 0.140569 0.508091 1.696618 5.126804 13.833302 36.234458
2025-05-04 0.028873 0.134740 0.507357 1.754275 5.458394 15.089136 40.395159
2025-05-11 0.024740 0.122431 0.482329 1.732855 5.566956 15.800459 43.311745
2025-05-18 0.020581 0.108362 0.447588 1.673401 5.556778 16.205789 45.513950